Energy, Infrastructure and Maritime Logistics - Ocean Geopolitics Centre https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/en/area-de-accao/energy-infrastructure-and-maritime-logistics/ Connect · Analyse · Cooperate · Shape the Ocean Thu, 01 Oct 2026 00:10:18 +0000 en-GB hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.1.2 Geological Formation, Distribution and Strategic Importance of Underwater Rare Earth-Rich Soils https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/en/publicacoes/rare-earth-soils/ Wed, 30 Sep 2026 09:00:00 +0000 https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/publicacoes/rare-earth-soils/ The twenty-first century has witnessed an unprecedented demand for critical minerals driven by the global transition toward renewable energy, digital transformation, advanced manufacturing, and national security technologies. Among these resources, rare earth elements (REEs) have emerged as some of the most strategically significant materials in…

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Introduction

The twenty-first century has witnessed an unprecedented demand for critical minerals driven by the global transition toward renewable energy, digital transformation, advanced manufacturing, and national security technologies. Among these resources, rare earth elements (REEs) have emerged as some of the most strategically significant materials in the modern economy. Comprising seventeen metallic elements, including the fifteen lanthanides as well as scandium and yttrium, rare earth elements are indispensable components of wind turbines, electric vehicle motors, smartphones, medical imaging devices, aerospace technologies, and sophisticated defence systems. Despite their relative abundance within the Earth’s crust, economically viable concentrations remain limited, and their extraction is often environmentally challenging and geopolitically sensitive (Humphries, 2013).

Historically, global rare earth production has been dominated by terrestrial mining operations, with a substantial proportion of extraction and processing concentrated in China. This concentration has generated concerns regarding supply chain security, market stability, and geopolitical dependency. Consequently, researchers and policymakers have increasingly turned their attention to alternative sources of rare earth elements, particularly those located beneath the world’s oceans. Recent scientific discoveries have revealed that extensive deposits of rare earth-rich sediments, often described as underwater rare earth-rich soils, exist across large areas of the deep seabed. These discoveries have prompted growing interest in their potential to supplement or even transform global mineral supply systems (Kato et al., 2011).

The exploration of underwater rare earth deposits represents a convergence of geology, oceanography, economics, environmental science, and international politics. Understanding the origins and distribution of these resources is therefore essential for assessing their future role in sustainable development and strategic resource management.

Geological Formation of Underwater Rare Earth-Rich Soils

The formation of underwater rare earth-rich soils is the result of complex geological and geochemical processes operating over millions of years. Unlike terrestrial ore deposits, which are often associated with volcanic activity or concentrated mineral veins, marine rare earth accumulations typically occur within deep-sea sediments through gradual processes of deposition, adsorption, and chemical enrichment.

One of the primary mechanisms responsible for rare earth accumulation in marine environments involves hydrothermal activity. Hydrothermal vents, located along tectonic plate boundaries and mid-ocean ridges, release mineral-rich fluids into surrounding seawater. As these fluids cool, dissolved metals precipitate and become incorporated into marine sediments. Over extended geological periods, repeated hydrothermal events contribute to the accumulation of valuable mineral deposits on the ocean floor (Hein et al., 2013).

A second important mechanism involves the continuous deposition of fine-grained clay particles and biological materials from the upper ocean. These particles gradually settle through the water column and accumulate on abyssal plains, creating thick layers of sediment. Rare earth elements dissolved in seawater become adsorbed onto clay minerals and organic matter, resulting in gradual enrichment over geological timescales. The exceptionally slow rate of sedimentation in deep ocean environments allows rare earth concentrations to increase significantly in certain locations (Kato et al., 2011).

Diagenetic processes further enhance mineral concentration after deposition. Chemical reactions occurring within sediment layers alter the composition of minerals and facilitate the redistribution of rare earth elements. These processes may increase the concentration of economically valuable metals while reducing the presence of less desirable materials. Such post-depositional modifications contribute significantly to the formation of commercially attractive deposits.

The interaction between ocean currents, biological productivity, volcanic activity, and tectonic processes also influences the spatial distribution of rare earth-rich sediments. Consequently, certain regions of the world’s oceans exhibit unusually high concentrations of rare earth elements, making them prime targets for future exploration and potential extraction.

Types of Marine Rare Earth Deposits

Marine rare earth resources occur in several distinct geological forms, each possessing unique characteristics and economic implications. Among these, deep-sea rare earth muds have attracted the greatest scientific and commercial interest. These deposits consist primarily of fine-grained sediments enriched with lanthanides and other critical minerals. Research conducted in the Pacific Ocean has identified rare earth concentrations exceeding 5,000 parts per million in certain areas, levels comparable to some of the world’s most productive terrestrial mines (Kato et al., 2011).

Polymetallic nodules constitute another important category of marine mineral resources. These nodules, often described as resembling potatoes in size and appearance, form over millions of years through the gradual precipitation of metals from seawater. In addition to manganese, nickel, copper, and cobalt, polymetallic nodules frequently contain economically significant quantities of rare earth elements. Their widespread distribution across abyssal plains has made them a major focus of international exploration efforts.

Cobalt-rich ferromanganese crusts represent a third category of underwater mineral resources. These crusts form on the flanks of underwater mountains and seamounts through direct precipitation from seawater. They are particularly valuable because they contain elevated concentrations of cobalt and heavy rare earth elements, both of which are essential for advanced technological applications (Hein et al., 2013).

Marine phosphorites also contribute to the global inventory of underwater rare earth resources. These phosphate-rich sediments accumulate primarily on continental shelves and contain trace concentrations of rare earth elements that may become economically significant as demand continues to increase.

Global Distribution and Strategic Significance

The discovery of extensive underwater rare earth deposits has fundamentally altered perceptions regarding future mineral availability. Although marine mineral resources exist in all major oceans, the Pacific Ocean currently contains the most thoroughly documented and potentially significant deposits. Japanese researchers were among the first to identify vast rare earth-rich mud fields in the eastern Pacific, leading some scholars to suggest that these resources could satisfy global demand for several centuries (Kato et al., 2011).

Particularly noteworthy is the Clarion-Clipperton Zone, a vast region located between Hawaii and Mexico. This area contains immense quantities of polymetallic nodules and has become the focal point of international exploration activities sponsored by governments and private corporations. Similar deposits have also been identified within the Indian Ocean and portions of the Atlantic Ocean, although these regions remain less extensively studied.

The strategic significance of underwater rare earth-rich soils extends far beyond geology. As nations seek to secure reliable supplies of critical minerals, access to marine resources has become increasingly intertwined with broader questions of economic security and geopolitical influence. The International Energy Agency (2023) projects substantial growth in demand for rare earth elements as countries accelerate the deployment of renewable energy technologies and electrified transportation systems. This growing demand has heightened concerns regarding supply chain resilience and resource concentration.

Marine rare earth deposits therefore represent not merely a new source of raw materials but also a potential mechanism for diversifying global supply networks. By reducing dependence on a limited number of terrestrial producers, underwater resources may contribute to greater market stability and strategic autonomy for resource-importing nations.

Extraction Technologies, Industrial Applications and Economic Potential of Underwater Rare Earth-Rich Soils

The discovery of extensive rare earth-rich sediments beneath the world’s oceans has generated considerable interest among governments, industry leaders, and scientific communities. However, the existence of vast mineral resources alone does not guarantee their economic viability. The extraction of rare earth elements from underwater soils presents some of the most complex engineering challenges ever confronted by the mining industry. Unlike terrestrial mining operations, which generally occur within accessible geological environments, deep-sea mining requires sophisticated technologies capable of operating under extreme pressure, low temperatures, complete darkness, and highly corrosive conditions. The development of such technologies has transformed underwater mineral extraction from a theoretical possibility into a realistic industrial prospect.

At the same time, growing global demand for rare earth elements has strengthened the economic rationale for exploring marine mineral resources. The expansion of renewable energy systems, electric mobility, digital technologies, advanced manufacturing, and defence industries has created unprecedented pressure on existing supply chains. Consequently, underwater rare earth-rich soils are increasingly viewed not merely as geological curiosities but as strategic assets capable of supporting future economic development and technological innovation.

Evolution of Deep-Sea Mining Technology

The concept of extracting minerals from the ocean floor is not new. Serious scientific discussions regarding deep-sea mining began during the 1960s when oceanographic surveys revealed the presence of polymetallic nodules across vast areas of the Pacific Ocean. At that time, however, technological limitations and relatively low mineral prices rendered commercial exploitation economically impractical. The immense depths involved, frequently exceeding 4,000 metres, presented engineering obstacles that could not be overcome using available technologies.

Over the past three decades, significant advances in robotics, materials science, artificial intelligence, remote sensing, and underwater engineering have dramatically altered this situation. Modern ocean exploration technologies now enable researchers to map seabed environments with remarkable precision. Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) equipped with advanced sonar systems can survey extensive areas of the ocean floor, producing detailed three-dimensional geological models that identify potential mineral deposits (Sharma, 2017).

Similarly, remotely operated vehicles (ROVs) have become indispensable tools for exploration and resource assessment. These sophisticated machines can collect samples, conduct visual inspections, and perform scientific measurements in environments previously inaccessible to human operators. The development of these technologies has substantially reduced exploration risks while improving the accuracy of resource estimates.

Artificial intelligence has further enhanced operational capabilities. Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to analyse geological data, optimise extraction routes, monitor equipment performance, and improve decision-making processes. Such innovations are expected to play a critical role in future commercial mining operations, particularly as projects expand into increasingly complex marine environments.

Extraction Technologies and Engineering Challenges

The extraction of rare earth-rich sediments from the deep seabed requires an integrated system involving seabed collection, vertical transport, surface processing, and mineral separation. Each stage presents unique technical challenges that influence operational efficiency and economic feasibility.

Current mining concepts typically rely upon specialised seabed collection vehicles. These crawler-like machines move across the ocean floor, gathering mineral-rich sediments through mechanical cutting, suction systems, or hydraulic collection mechanisms. The collected material is then mixed with seawater to form a slurry that can be transported to surface vessels through large riser pipes extending several kilometres below sea level.

Hydraulic lifting systems constitute one of the most widely studied approaches for transporting seabed materials. Powerful pumps generate sufficient pressure to move sediment-water mixtures from the ocean floor to processing facilities aboard mining ships. Although technically feasible, maintaining reliable flow rates under extreme ocean conditions remains a significant engineering challenge. Equipment must withstand enormous hydrostatic pressures while operating continuously in highly abrasive environments.

The physical recovery of sediments represents only the initial stage of the extraction process. Once transported to the surface, rare earth elements must be separated from surrounding materials through complex metallurgical procedures. This stage often accounts for a substantial proportion of total production costs.

According to Jordens, Cheng and Waters (2013), the beneficiation of rare earth-bearing minerals remains one of the most technically demanding aspects of the industry. The chemical similarities among rare earth elements make their separation particularly difficult. Conventional processing techniques typically involve acid leaching, solvent extraction, ion exchange systems, and hydrometallurgical treatment. These methods require significant energy inputs and extensive chemical management to achieve commercially acceptable purity levels.

Emerging technologies seek to improve both efficiency and environmental performance. Bioleaching techniques, which utilise microorganisms to facilitate mineral extraction, have attracted growing scientific interest. Similarly, advanced adsorption materials capable of selectively capturing rare earth ions may reduce processing costs while minimising chemical waste. Although many of these technologies remain at the experimental stage, they could substantially improve the economic viability of underwater rare earth extraction in the coming decades (Binnemans et al., 2013).

Industrial Applications of Rare Earth Elements

The economic significance of underwater rare earth-rich soils derives primarily from the indispensable role of rare earth elements in modern industrial systems. Few other mineral groups possess such broad technological applications across multiple sectors of the global economy.

Perhaps the most widely recognised application involves renewable energy technologies. Permanent magnets manufactured from neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium are essential components of high-efficiency wind turbines and electric vehicle motors. These magnets enable greater energy conversion efficiency while reducing equipment size and weight. As governments pursue ambitious decarbonisation targets, demand for these materials is expected to increase substantially (International Energy Agency, 2023).

The digital economy represents another major source of demand. Smartphones, computers, fibre-optic communication systems, semiconductors, and data centres all rely upon rare earth elements. Europium, terbium, and yttrium are widely used in display technologies, while other rare earth compounds contribute to miniaturised electronic components and advanced telecommunications infrastructure.

In the aerospace and defence sectors, rare earth elements are often regarded as strategic materials. Modern radar systems, satellite communications, precision-guided munitions, missile defence technologies, and advanced aircraft engines depend upon specialised rare earth alloys and magnetic materials. As a result, access to reliable rare earth supplies is increasingly viewed as a matter of national security by many governments (Humphries, 2013).

Medical technologies also rely heavily upon rare earth elements. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) systems, laser surgical equipment, diagnostic instruments, and radiation therapy technologies incorporate rare earth compounds due to their unique magnetic and optical properties. The growing sophistication of healthcare systems worldwide is therefore expected to contribute further to future demand.

Economic Potential and Global Market Dynamics

The economic potential of underwater rare earth-rich soils is closely linked to long-term trends in global mineral consumption. The transition towards low-carbon energy systems has significantly altered projections regarding future resource demand. According to the World Bank (2020), achieving global climate objectives may require a several-fold increase in the production of critical minerals, including rare earth elements.

This anticipated growth has intensified concerns regarding supply concentration. At present, a substantial portion of global rare earth processing capacity remains concentrated within a limited number of countries. Such concentration creates vulnerabilities that may affect manufacturing industries, energy transitions, and national security planning. Underwater rare earth deposits offer a potential mechanism for diversifying supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks.

From an economic perspective, the attractiveness of deep-sea mining depends upon several interrelated factors. Commodity prices, technological efficiency, environmental compliance costs, regulatory certainty, and capital investment requirements all influence project viability. While initial investment costs are likely to be substantial, the enormous scale of identified marine deposits may ultimately support long-term profitability.

Private corporations, sovereign wealth funds, and national governments have increasingly recognised these opportunities. Exploration contracts issued by the International Seabed Authority have expanded steadily, reflecting growing confidence in the future commercial potential of marine mineral resources. Some analysts have suggested that underwater rare earth extraction could become a central component of the emerging blue economy, generating significant economic value while supporting broader industrial transformation.

Nevertheless, economic potential alone cannot determine the future of deep-sea mining. The environmental consequences of disturbing largely unexplored marine ecosystems remain uncertain and controversial. Questions regarding biodiversity protection, ecological resilience, and sustainable governance continue to shape international debates. These environmental and regulatory dimensions will be examined in Part III of this study, where the focus shifts from technological feasibility and economic opportunity to the broader challenge of balancing resource development with environmental stewardship.

Environmental Impacts, International Governance, Sustainability Challenges and Future Prospects of Underwater Rare Earth Extraction

The growing interest in underwater rare earth-rich soils reflects a broader global challenge: how to secure the mineral resources necessary for economic development and technological progress while maintaining environmental sustainability. Although deep-sea deposits offer significant opportunities to diversify critical mineral supply chains, their exploitation raises profound ecological, legal, ethical, and political questions. Unlike terrestrial mining environments, where decades of scientific research have generated extensive knowledge regarding environmental impacts, deep-sea ecosystems remain among the least understood regions of the planet. Consequently, policymakers, scientists, environmental organisations, and industry stakeholders are engaged in an ongoing debate concerning whether the potential benefits of underwater rare earth extraction outweigh the associated risks.

The controversy surrounding deep-sea mining is not merely a technical issue. It reflects broader tensions between economic growth and environmental protection, between national interests and international governance, and between present-day resource needs and long-term ecological stewardship. As technological capabilities advance and commercial interest intensifies, these questions are becoming increasingly urgent.

The Ecological Significance of Deep-Sea Ecosystems

The deep ocean represents the largest ecosystem on Earth, covering more than half of the planet’s surface. Despite its vast extent, scientific understanding of deep-sea biodiversity remains remarkably limited. Many regions that have been identified as potential mining sites have only recently been explored, and new species continue to be discovered during almost every major scientific expedition.

For much of the twentieth century, the deep sea was viewed as a relatively barren environment characterised by low biological productivity. Contemporary research has fundamentally challenged this assumption. Scientists now recognise deep-sea ecosystems as highly diverse and ecologically complex environments that support specialised organisms adapted to conditions of extreme pressure, low temperature, and perpetual darkness (Levin et al., 2016).

Many deep-sea species exhibit exceptionally slow growth rates and extended life cycles. Some coral communities associated with seamounts may be several centuries old, while certain polymetallic nodules themselves require millions of years to form. Consequently, ecological recovery following disturbance is expected to occur far more slowly than in many terrestrial ecosystems.

Rare earth-rich sediments and associated mineral deposits frequently provide habitat for unique biological communities. Organisms living on or around polymetallic nodules often depend directly upon these structures for shelter, feeding, and reproduction. The removal of nodules therefore represents not only the extraction of mineral resources but also the elimination of ecological habitat that may never be naturally restored within human timescales (Jones et al., 2017).

Environmental Risks Associated with Deep-Sea Mining

One of the primary concerns associated with underwater rare earth extraction involves direct habitat destruction. Mining equipment operating on the seabed inevitably disturbs sediments, removes geological structures, and alters physical habitat characteristics. Unlike terrestrial ecosystems, where restoration measures can sometimes accelerate recovery, the extreme environmental conditions of the deep sea significantly limit opportunities for active rehabilitation.

Scientific experiments conducted to simulate seabed mining disturbances have demonstrated that ecological effects may persist for decades. In some experimental sites disturbed during the 1970s and 1980s, evidence of ecological recovery remains incomplete more than forty years later (Jones et al., 2017). Such findings raise important questions regarding the reversibility of mining impacts and the adequacy of existing environmental management frameworks.

Sediment plumes represent a second major environmental concern. Mining operations generate large volumes of suspended sediment that may spread considerable distances beyond the immediate extraction area. These plumes can interfere with feeding mechanisms used by filter-feeding organisms, reduce habitat quality, and alter ecological processes across extensive regions of the seabed.

The potential impact of sediment plumes remains one of the least understood aspects of deep-sea mining. Modelling studies suggest that plume behaviour depends upon ocean currents, sediment characteristics, and mining intensity, making accurate predictions difficult. Nevertheless, many scientists regard plume generation as one of the most significant ecological risks associated with commercial-scale operations (Levin et al., 2016).

Noise pollution constitutes another emerging area of concern. Deep-sea mining systems involve continuous operation of pumps, vehicles, drilling equipment, and surface vessels. Although research remains limited, there is growing evidence that underwater noise may affect marine mammals, fish populations, and other species that rely upon acoustic communication or environmental sensing.

A further concern involves the potential disruption of biogeochemical cycles. Deep-sea sediments serve as long-term repositories for carbon and nutrients that influence global ocean processes. Disturbance of these sediments may alter carbon storage dynamics, nutrient cycling, and microbial activity. While current scientific evidence suggests that these impacts are unlikely to rival major anthropogenic carbon emissions, uncertainties remain substantial and require further investigation (Jones et al., 2017).

International Governance and Legal Frameworks

The emergence of deep-sea mining has created significant challenges for international law and global governance. Unlike terrestrial mineral resources, many underwater deposits are located beyond national jurisdictions, requiring international mechanisms to regulate access and environmental protection.

The principal legal framework governing deep-sea mineral activities is the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which entered into force in 1994. UNCLOS established the principle that mineral resources located beyond national jurisdiction constitute the “common heritage of mankind.” This concept reflects the view that such resources should be managed for the benefit of all humanity rather than exclusively for individual states or corporations.

To implement this principle, UNCLOS created the International Seabed Authority (ISA), headquartered in Kingston, Jamaica. The ISA is responsible for regulating exploration and potential exploitation activities in international waters. Its responsibilities include issuing exploration contracts, developing environmental standards, monitoring compliance, and establishing financial mechanisms for resource sharing.

Since the early 2000s, the ISA has issued numerous exploration licences covering large areas of the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans. These licences have been granted to both state-sponsored entities and private corporations operating under national sponsorship agreements. However, the transition from exploration to commercial exploitation remains highly controversial.

One of the central challenges facing the ISA concerns the development of mining regulations that adequately balance economic interests with environmental protection. Environmental organisations have argued that scientific knowledge remains insufficient to support large-scale mining activities. Some governments have therefore called for precautionary pauses or temporary moratoria until additional research can be conducted.

The debate reflects broader tensions within environmental governance. While proponents emphasise the importance of securing critical minerals needed for renewable energy transitions, opponents argue that exploiting poorly understood ecosystems may create irreversible environmental damage. This conflict illustrates the complex trade-offs associated with sustainable development in the twenty-first century.

Ethical Considerations and Sustainability

Beyond legal and environmental questions, underwater rare earth extraction raises important ethical issues. The concept of sustainability requires balancing present needs with the interests of future generations. Determining how this principle should apply to deep-sea ecosystems remains a subject of ongoing debate.

Advocates of deep-sea mining frequently argue that underwater resources may reduce pressure on terrestrial environments. Conventional rare earth mining has often been associated with deforestation, habitat destruction, water contamination, and social conflict. From this perspective, carefully regulated marine extraction could potentially provide a less environmentally damaging alternative.

Critics counter that such arguments may create a false choice between two environmentally problematic options. They emphasise the need to prioritise recycling, resource efficiency, and circular economy strategies before expanding extraction into previously undisturbed ecosystems (Binnemans et al., 2013).

Questions of intergenerational justice are particularly relevant. Deep-sea ecosystems have evolved over millions of years and may possess scientific, ecological, and cultural values that remain poorly understood. Decisions regarding their exploitation therefore involve considerations extending beyond immediate economic benefits.

The ethical debate also encompasses issues of global equity. Since deep-sea resources are considered part of humanity’s common heritage, questions arise regarding how economic benefits should be distributed among developed and developing nations. Ensuring equitable access to resource revenues remains one of the most challenging aspects of international seabed governance.

Future Prospects

The future of underwater rare earth extraction will likely be shaped by interactions among technological innovation, market demand, environmental science, and international politics. Several potential pathways can be identified.

The first scenario involves the gradual development of a highly regulated mining industry supported by robust environmental monitoring systems. Advances in extraction technologies could reduce ecological impacts while improving economic efficiency. Under this model, deep-sea mining would become an important component of global critical mineral supply chains.

A second possibility involves accelerated commercial expansion driven by growing demand for renewable energy technologies and strategic minerals. While this scenario could enhance resource security, it may also increase environmental risks if governance systems fail to keep pace with industrial development.

A third scenario involves the adoption of precautionary approaches that delay or restrict commercial mining activities. Under this model, greater emphasis would be placed on recycling, material substitution, and circular economy strategies to reduce dependence on primary resource extraction.

Which path ultimately emerges will depend upon scientific discoveries, political decisions, technological advances, and societal values. Regardless of the outcome, underwater rare earth-rich soils are likely to remain central to debates concerning sustainable development, energy transitions, and resource security throughout the coming decades.

Conclusion

Underwater rare earth-rich soils represent one of the most significant mineral discoveries of the modern era. Their potential to support renewable energy systems, advanced manufacturing, digital technologies, and national security industries has positioned them at the centre of global strategic planning. Yet their exploitation raises equally significant environmental, legal, and ethical challenges.

Scientific evidence demonstrates that deep-sea ecosystems possess considerable ecological value and remain insufficiently understood. At the same time, growing demand for critical minerals underscores the strategic importance of identifying new resource sources. The challenge facing policymakers and international institutions is therefore not simply whether deep-sea mining should occur, but under what conditions it can be conducted responsibly.

The future of underwater rare earth extraction will ultimately depend upon humanity’s ability to reconcile economic ambition with environmental stewardship. Achieving this balance will require continued scientific research, technological innovation, effective international governance, and a commitment to sustainability that extends beyond immediate commercial interests. In this sense, the debate surrounding underwater rare earth-rich soils serves as a broader reflection of the choices confronting modern society as it seeks to navigate the complex relationship between development and environmental responsibility.

References

Binnemans, K., Jones, P.T., Blanpain, B., Van Gerven, T., Yang, Y., Walton, A. and Buchert, M. (2013) ‘Recycling of rare earths: a critical review’, Journal of Cleaner Production, 51, pp. 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2012.12.037

Hein, J.R., Mizell, K., Koschinsky, A. and Conrad, T.A. (2013) ‘Deep-ocean mineral deposits as a source of critical metals for high- and green-technology applications’, Ore Geology Reviews, 51, pp. 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oregeorev.2012.12.001

Humphries, M. (2013) Rare Earth Elements: The Global Supply Chain. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.

International Energy Agency (IEA) (2023) Critical Minerals Market Review 2023. Paris: International Energy Agency.

International Seabed Authority (ISA) (2024) Annual Report and Regulatory Developments. Kingston, Jamaica: International Seabed Authority.

Jones, D.O.B., Kaiser, S., Sweetman, A.K., Smith, C.R., Menot, L., Vink, A., Trueblood, D., Greinert, J., Billett, D.S.M. and Arbizu, P.M. (2017) ‘Biological responses to disturbance from simulated deep-sea polymetallic nodule mining’, PLOS ONE, 12(2), pp. 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0171750

Jordens, A., Cheng, Y.P. and Waters, K.E. (2013) ‘A review of the beneficiation of rare earth element-bearing minerals’, Minerals Engineering, 41, pp. 97–114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mineng.2012.10.017

Kato, Y., Fujinaga, K., Nakamura, K., Takaya, Y., Kitamura, K., Ohta, J., Toda, R., Nakashima, T. and Iwamori, H. (2011) ‘Deep-sea mud in the Pacific Ocean as a potential resource for rare-earth elements’, Nature Geoscience, 4(8), pp. 535–539. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1185

Levin, L.A., Mengerink, K., Gjerde, K.M., Rowden, A.A., Van Dover, C.L., Clark, M.R., Ramirez-Llodra, E., Currie, B., Smith, C.R. and Sato, K.N. (2016) ‘Defining “serious harm” to the marine environment in the context of deep-seabed mining’, Marine Policy, 74, pp. 245–259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.09.032

Massari, S. and Ruberti, M. (2013) ‘Rare earth elements as critical raw materials: focus on international markets and future strategies’, Resources Policy, 38(1), pp. 36–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2012.07.001

Sharma, R. (2017) Deep-Sea Mining: Resource Potential, Technical and Environmental Considerations. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing.

United Nations (1982) United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). New York: United Nations.

World Bank (2020) Minerals for Climate Action: The Mineral Intensity of the Clean Energy Transition. Washington, DC: World Bank.

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The Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/en/publicacoes/strategic-geography-undersea-infrastructure/ Mon, 20 Jul 2026 01:28:53 +0000 https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/publicacoes/strategic-geography-undersea-infrastructure/ The Ocean Geopolitics Centre is pleased to announce the publication of Working Paper No. 003, entitled The Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure: How Critical Seabed Systems Are Reshaping Global Power.…

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Cover of OGC Working Paper No. 003, The Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure, by Artur Victoria

The Ocean Geopolitics Centre is pleased to announce the publication of Working Paper No. 003, entitled The Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure: How Critical Seabed Systems Are Reshaping Global Power.

The publication examines one of the least visible yet most strategically important transformations taking place in international affairs. Beneath the world’s oceans lies an extensive network of submarine communication cables, offshore energy installations, electricity interconnectors, pipelines, seabed sensors and emerging underwater technologies that collectively sustain the functioning of the global economy.

While maritime geopolitics has traditionally focused on naval power and the control of sea lines of communication, this Working Paper argues that contemporary geopolitical competition increasingly depends upon the resilience, governance and protection of these interconnected undersea systems.

The paper introduces the concept of the Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure, proposing a new analytical framework within Ocean Geopolitics for understanding how critical seabed infrastructure is reshaping the distribution of power in the twenty-first century.

Rather than viewing the oceans solely as spaces for navigation, the paper demonstrates that they have become integrated strategic environments where technology, infrastructure, security, economics and governance interact continuously. It explores the evolution of critical undersea infrastructure, examines its vulnerability to hybrid threats and infrastructure warfare, and considers its implications for strategic sovereignty and international maritime governance.

This publication forms part of the Ocean Geopolitics Centre’s ongoing research programme dedicated to advancing Ocean Geopolitics as an emerging multidisciplinary field of strategic studies.

Main Themes

  • Ocean Geopolitics
  • Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure
  • Critical Seabed Systems
  • Submarine Communication Cables
  • Infrastructure Resilience
  • Hybrid Threats
  • Strategic Sovereignty
  • Maritime Governance
  • International Security

Publication Details

Ocean Geopolitics Centre Working Paper No. 003
Author: Artur Victoria
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21452601

The complete Working Paper is freely available through Zenodo and contributes to the Ocean Geopolitics Centre’s Working Paper Series, which explores the changing geopolitical significance of the oceans and their role in the evolving architecture of global power.


Keywords: Ocean Geopolitics, Undersea Infrastructure, Maritime Security, Strategic Geography, Critical Seabed Systems, Strategic Sovereignty, Ocean Governance, Hybrid Threats, Blue Economy, Maritime Strategy.

Ocean Geopolitics Centre Working Paper Series

  • Working Paper No. 001 – Ocean Geopolitics
  • Working Paper No. 002 – Ocean Geopolitics as a New Multidisciplinary Discipline
  • Working Paper No. 003 – The Strategic Geography of Undersea Infrastructure

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Critical Underwater Infrastructure: The Hidden Battlefield Beneath the Oceans https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/en/publicacoes/critical-underwater-infrastructure/ Sun, 12 Jul 2026 02:02:38 +0000 https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/publicacoes/critical-underwater-infrastructure/ Beneath the world's oceans lies an extensive and largely invisible network upon which modern civilisation depends. Submarine fibre-optic cables, energy pipelines, electricity interconnectors, offshore installations and underwater sensor systems sustain global communications, financial markets, international trade, energy security and national defence. Although these systems remain…

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Beneath the world’s oceans lies an extensive and largely invisible network upon which modern civilisation depends. Submarine fibre-optic cables, energy pipelines, electricity interconnectors, offshore installations and underwater sensor systems sustain global communications, financial markets, international trade, energy security and national defence. Although these systems remain hidden from public view, they have become strategic assets at the centre of twenty-first-century geopolitical competition.

When national security is discussed, attention normally turns to armies, naval fleets, aircraft, satellites and territorial borders. However, some of the most important infrastructure supporting contemporary societies lies thousands of metres below the surface of the sea. This underwater domain is becoming a new strategic frontier in which technology, security, economic resilience and geopolitical rivalry increasingly converge.

The Hidden Foundation of Modern Civilisation

Critical underwater infrastructure consists of the physical and digital systems located on or beneath the seabed that are essential to the functioning of states, economies and societies. These systems include submarine telecommunications cables, gas and oil pipelines, electricity interconnectors, offshore energy installations, underwater monitoring equipment and increasingly sophisticated networks of civilian and military sensors.

Submarine fibre-optic cables form the central nervous system of the global digital economy. They carry international internet traffic, government communications, financial transactions, commercial data and information exchanged between institutions and individuals across continents. Despite the widespread perception that global communications depend mainly upon satellites, the physical infrastructure of digital globalisation remains deeply connected to the ocean floor.

Alongside these communication systems, underwater pipelines transport energy between countries, while electricity cables connect national grids and offshore renewable energy installations to land-based infrastructure. The seabed has therefore become an essential component of digital connectivity, energy security, economic activity and strategic sovereignty.

From Engineering Systems to Strategic Assets

For many years, underwater cables and pipelines were treated primarily as technical or commercial infrastructure. Their construction, operation and maintenance were generally regarded as matters for telecommunications companies, energy operators, engineers and regulatory authorities.

That perception is changing. As states and economies become increasingly dependent upon uninterrupted connectivity and energy flows, underwater infrastructure is being recognised as a strategic national asset. Disruption to a major cable, pipeline or electricity interconnector can affect several countries simultaneously, producing consequences for financial markets, communications, energy supplies, government operations and international commerce.

The strategic importance of these systems arises not only from their economic value but also from the dependencies they create. A society may possess strong armed forces and advanced institutions, yet remain vulnerable when essential digital and energy connections pass through infrastructure that is difficult to observe, defend or rapidly replace.

Why Underwater Infrastructure Is Vulnerable

Protecting underwater infrastructure is exceptionally difficult because these systems extend across enormous maritime areas. Many cables and pipelines travel thousands of kilometres, crossing national jurisdictions, exclusive economic zones and international waters. Some are located in shallow coastal areas exposed to shipping activity, anchoring and fishing operations, while others lie at great depths where inspection and repair are technically demanding.

Damage may result from natural events, equipment failure, maritime accidents or human activity. However, growing geopolitical tension has also increased concern about deliberate interference, sabotage, covert surveillance and hybrid maritime operations.

The difficulty of establishing responsibility creates an additional security challenge. Underwater incidents may occur far from direct observation, and identifying whether damage was accidental or intentional can require complex technical investigation. This uncertainty may allow hostile actors to operate below the threshold of conventional armed conflict while still causing significant economic and strategic disruption.

Submarine Cables and Digital Sovereignty

Submarine cables are among the most important components of contemporary globalisation. They enable governments, companies, universities, banks, media organisations and citizens to communicate across borders almost instantaneously. Modern financial systems depend upon the speed and reliability of these connections, while cloud computing, digital platforms and international data services require continuous access to global networks.

This dependence gives submarine cables a geopolitical significance extending far beyond telecommunications. Their routes, landing points, ownership structures and maintenance arrangements influence digital resilience and national sovereignty. States that depend heavily upon a small number of cable connections may face greater exposure to disruption, surveillance or external pressure.

Digital sovereignty therefore cannot be understood solely through software, data centres and national legislation. It must also include the physical maritime infrastructure through which data moves. The security of the digital state increasingly begins beneath the ocean.

Energy Infrastructure Beneath the Sea

The underwater domain is equally important to energy security. Offshore oil and gas installations, pipelines, electricity interconnectors and offshore wind farms are becoming central elements of national and regional energy systems.

As countries expand renewable energy production and develop interconnected electricity markets, offshore infrastructure will continue to grow in strategic importance. Wind farms, subsea electricity cables and energy islands may support decarbonisation, but they also create new dependencies that require protection and continuous monitoring.

An interruption affecting offshore energy infrastructure may influence domestic supply, industrial production, market prices and political stability. Energy security is therefore increasingly inseparable from maritime security, seabed awareness and infrastructure resilience.

Surveillance, Technology and Maritime Awareness

Protecting critical underwater infrastructure requires a substantially expanded form of maritime situational awareness. Traditional maritime surveillance has focused mainly on ships, coastal activity and surface navigation. The emerging security environment demands greater attention to what happens below the surface and on the seabed.

Autonomous underwater vehicles, remotely operated systems, seabed sensors, satellite observation, hydrographic information, acoustic monitoring and artificial intelligence can all contribute to detecting unusual activity and identifying potential threats.

Artificial intelligence is particularly important because maritime authorities must analyse enormous volumes of information originating from vessels, satellites, sensors, communications systems and environmental monitoring platforms. Intelligent systems can help identify anomalies, compare actual activity with expected patterns and support faster decisions when suspicious behaviour is detected.

Technology alone, however, cannot provide complete protection. Effective security also depends upon trained personnel, clear institutional responsibility, information sharing and coordinated operational procedures.

International Cooperation and Maritime Governance

Underwater infrastructure frequently connects several countries and crosses different legal jurisdictions. No state can protect the entire network independently. International cooperation is therefore essential.

Governments, naval forces, coastguards, port authorities, telecommunications companies, energy operators, research institutions and international organisations must exchange information and develop common approaches to prevention, surveillance, incident response and infrastructure repair.

Legal and governance questions remain particularly important. States must consider responsibility for protecting infrastructure located within territorial waters, exclusive economic zones and international maritime spaces. They must also determine how evidence should be collected, how attribution should be established and how public and private operators should coordinate during emergencies.

Resilience must become a central principle of maritime governance. This includes diversifying cable routes, strengthening landing stations, maintaining repair capacity, improving redundancy and ensuring that essential services can continue during periods of disruption.

A New Understanding of Maritime Security

The rise of critical underwater infrastructure requires a broader understanding of maritime security. Security at sea can no longer be defined only through naval power, freedom of navigation, port protection and the defence of shipping routes.

It must also include the protection of the invisible systems that sustain modern economies and societies. Maritime security now extends from the ocean surface to the seabed and from physical infrastructure to digital networks.

This development also changes the meaning of national resilience. A resilient state must understand where its critical connections are located, who owns and operates them, which alternative routes are available and how quickly damaged infrastructure can be restored.

The underwater domain is therefore becoming a meeting point between national defence, economic policy, technological sovereignty, energy strategy, cybersecurity and international cooperation.

Conclusion: The Seabed as a Strategic Domain

Critical underwater infrastructure represents one of the defining security challenges of the twenty-first century. Submarine cables, pipelines, electricity interconnectors, offshore installations and sensor networks form an invisible architecture upon which global communications, energy systems and international commerce increasingly depend.

The protection of these systems will require more than naval capability. It will demand technological innovation, institutional coordination, infrastructure redundancy, legal development, international cooperation and a deeper understanding of the geopolitical importance of the seabed.

The future of security will not be determined solely on land, in the air, in space or on the surface of the sea. It will also depend upon the ability of states and international institutions to understand, monitor and protect what lies beneath the oceans.

The security of modern societies increasingly begins on the ocean floor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is critical underwater infrastructure?

Critical underwater infrastructure includes submarine telecommunications cables, energy pipelines, electricity interconnectors, offshore platforms, renewable energy installations and underwater sensor systems that support communications, trade, energy security and national defence.

Why are submarine cables strategically important?

Submarine fibre-optic cables carry the majority of international digital communications. Governments, financial markets, companies and public services depend upon them for secure and continuous global connectivity.

What can damage underwater infrastructure?

Damage may result from natural hazards, equipment failure, fishing activity, ship anchors, maritime accidents, sabotage or covert geopolitical operations.

How can countries protect underwater cables and pipelines?

Protection requires maritime surveillance, autonomous underwater technologies, satellite monitoring, international information sharing, infrastructure redundancy, repair capacity and cooperation between governments and private operators.

Why is the seabed becoming a geopolitical domain?

The seabed contains infrastructure, data routes, energy systems, strategic resources and military technologies. Control, surveillance and protection of these assets are becoming increasingly important to national security and international competition.


About the Ocean Geopolitics Centre

The Ocean Geopolitics Centre conducts independent and multidisciplinary research into maritime security, ocean governance, strategic sovereignty, emerging technologies, critical infrastructure, the blue economy and the geopolitical transformation of the world’s oceans.

This article accompanies the video Critical Underwater Infrastructure: The Hidden Battlefield, produced as part of the Centre’s continuing programme of research, education and public engagement.

Ocean Geopolitics Centre
Understanding the Oceans. Shaping Strategic Thinking.

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AI-Powered Docking: The Future of Intelligent Maritime Navigation https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/en/publicacoes/ai-powered-docking/ Fri, 10 Jul 2026 02:00:06 +0000 https://www.oceangeopoliticscentre.org/publicacoes/ai-powered-docking/ Artificial Intelligence is revolutionising modern port operations by transforming the way ships approach, manoeuvre and berth. From predictive navigation and digital twins to autonomous tugboats and intelligent mooring systems, AI is creating safer, more efficient and more sustainable ports while reshaping the future of global…

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Automated container terminal with ship-to-shore cranes and driverless container carriers

Autonomous Berthing and Intelligent Docking: How Artificial Intelligence is Transforming Modern Ports

Artificial Intelligence is revolutionising modern port operations by transforming the way ships approach, manoeuvre and berth. From predictive navigation and digital twins to autonomous tugboats and intelligent mooring systems, AI is creating safer, more efficient and more sustainable ports while reshaping the future of global maritime logistics.

Modern commercial ships are becoming increasingly intelligent, but one of the greatest technological revolutions in maritime transport is taking place during the final few hundred metres of a voyage. Berthing a vessel safely alongside a quay has always been one of the most demanding tasks in navigation, requiring exceptional judgement from masters, harbour pilots and tugboat crews. Today, Artificial Intelligence is beginning to transform this complex operation.

Why Berthing Remains the Greatest Navigational Challenge

Although ships may travel thousands of nautical miles across the world’s oceans, the final approach into port often presents the greatest operational challenge. Wind, tidal currents, restricted waterways, nearby vessels and harbour infrastructure must all be managed simultaneously. Traditionally, these decisions depended almost entirely on the experience of highly trained maritime professionals.

Artificial Intelligence is now introducing a new level of predictive capability. Instead of simply displaying navigational information, intelligent systems analyse enormous quantities of real-time data and recommend, or in some cases automatically execute, the safest and most efficient manoeuvres.

From Navigation to Prediction

Modern intelligent docking systems combine information from GPS, radar, lidar, cameras, weather stations, tidal sensors, propulsion systems and digital port management platforms. Machine-learning algorithms continuously integrate these data sources to build a real-time picture of the vessel’s operational environment.

Rather than reacting after conditions change, Artificial Intelligence predicts what is likely to happen several minutes ahead. Small variations in wind direction, vessel speed or tidal flow can be detected immediately, allowing corrective action before a situation becomes critical. This predictive capability represents one of the most significant advances in modern maritime navigation.

Creating a Digital Harbour

One of the most exciting developments is the use of digital twins, virtual replicas of ports that simulate every aspect of an incoming vessel’s approach.

Before a ship even reaches the harbour entrance, artificial intelligence can evaluate multiple berthing scenarios, taking into account weather forecasts, tugboat availability, berth occupancy, environmental conditions and expected traffic. The safest and most efficient manoeuvre can therefore be selected before physical operations begin, reducing delays and increasing operational reliability.

Building the Intelligent Port

Artificial Intelligence is also transforming the wider port ecosystem. Autonomous tugboats, automated mooring systems, intelligent berth allocation and machine-to-machine communication are enabling ports to operate with levels of precision and coordination previously unimaginable.

Instead of relying on fixed schedules, intelligent systems continuously adapt port operations as circumstances change. Delays, equipment failures, weather variations and vessel arrivals can all be managed dynamically, reducing congestion while improving infrastructure utilisation. The result is faster vessel turnaround, lower operating costs and more resilient global supply chains.

Safety, Cybersecurity and Human Expertise

Despite rapid technological progress, Artificial Intelligence is not replacing maritime professionals. Instead, it functions as an advanced decision-support system that enhances human judgement and improves situational awareness during some of the most demanding navigational operations.

At the same time, increasing digitalisation makes cybersecurity an essential component of intelligent port management. AI-based monitoring systems continuously analyse navigation networks, communication systems and operational data, identifying anomalies or cyber threats before they compromise vessel safety or port operations.

As autonomous technologies become increasingly sophisticated, questions regarding legal responsibility, regulatory oversight and professional accountability will become ever more significant. The future of intelligent navigation will depend upon maintaining an appropriate balance between technological innovation and human decision-making.

Towards the Intelligent Port of the Future

Artificial Intelligence is transforming berthing from a purely navigational activity into one component of a fully integrated digital ecosystem connecting ships, ports, logistics operators, customs authorities, inland transport networks and global supply chains.

The result is safer navigation, greater operational efficiency, lower emissions and improved resilience throughout international maritime commerce. Rather than replacing the expertise of masters, harbour pilots and port operators, Artificial Intelligence is becoming a powerful strategic partner capable of supporting faster, safer and more informed operational decisions.

As ports continue to evolve towards fully intelligent infrastructures, autonomous berthing will become one of the defining characteristics of next-generation maritime transport. Artificial Intelligence is not replacing human expertise; it is enhancing it. The intelligent port represents a new era in which digital technologies, operational excellence and human judgement converge to improve maritime safety, sustainability and the resilience of global trade.


Looking Ahead

The intelligent port is no longer a vision of the distant future—it is already becoming a reality in many of the world’s leading maritime hubs. As Artificial Intelligence continues to evolve, autonomous berthing and intelligent docking will become increasingly common, offering unprecedented opportunities for efficiency, safety and environmental sustainability. At the same time, policymakers, regulators, shipping companies and maritime professionals must work together to ensure that technological innovation remains aligned with international law, cybersecurity, professional responsibility and the safe governance of the world’s ports. The future of maritime transport will not be defined solely by autonomous technologies, but by the successful partnership between human expertise and intelligent systems working together to navigate an increasingly connected maritime world.

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